Dogecoin price prediction for November stays bearish below $0.0782, the 20-day average $DOGE needs to reclaim after October’s 20% drop.

Dogecoin Price Analysis: Can $0.0782 Break?

Dogecoin traded at $0.0749, down 0.22% on the day, after bouncing from $0.0722. That low was just $0.0007 above support at $0.0715. Selling pressure has eased, but momentum remains weak.

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$DOGE faces resistance near $0.0772, the upper edge of its narrowing trading range. A daily close above $0.0782 would clear that level and the 20-day exponential moving average. The 50-day and 100-day averages sit higher at $0.0818 and $0.0832, followed by the 200-day average at $0.0898.

The range narrows toward November 15. For now, $DOGE looks more likely to trade between $0.0715 and $0.0782. A daily close below $0.0715 could bring the summer low of $0.0680 back into reach.

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Dogecoin Weekly Chart: Can $0.080 Break?

On the weekly chart $DOGE sits near $0.0748, below the Bollinger Band midline at $0.0800 and above the lower band at $0.0626. The Parabolic SAR at $0.1038 and the upper band at $0.0975 are both far overhead, so the weekly trend is still down.

$DOGE is about 75% below its September 2025 high near $0.30 and has traded between roughly $0.068 and $0.105 since the summer. A weekly close above the $0.0800 midline would be the first sign the downtrend is easing. If $0.0680 fails, the lower band at $0.0626 is the weekly floor.

$DOGE Support and Resistance Levels, November 2026

Polymarket Prices 14% Odds of $DOGE Touching $0.10

Polymarket’s market on what price Dogecoin will hit in November shows how traders see the month’s extremes. Each strike pays if a Binance one-minute $DOGE/USDT candle touches it at any point in November, so these are odds of a touch, not a close.

Traders give a return to $0.10, back near the September high, about one chance in seven. They give a drop to $0.05 about one in six. That frames November as a range with no strong lean either way.

The market is thin, though. Volume on each strike is under $500 and only $5 on one. The $0.05 row’s Yes and No prices (30¢ and 92.5¢) add up to well over $1, which points to a wide spread. Treat it as a sentiment gauge, not a forecast.

Van de Poppe Says Bitcoin Is Bottoming, but Not Out of the Woods

Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) said Bitcoin has bounced strongly from its lows and that he thinks it is setting the low of this correction, without the sweep of $75,000 many traders expect. He named the midterm results and a possible liquidity move by Scott Bessent as the next catalysts. A clear break above $79,000, he said, would give him confidence the correction is over.

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That matters for Dogecoin because $DOGE usually trades in the direction of Bitcoin, so a confirmed Bitcoin bottom would give it the market backdrop it lacks now. $DOGE still has to do its own work. It needs a close above $0.0782, where the 20-day average meets the wedge’s upper line, before the bounce shows up on its chart.

Dogecoin Fell in 7 of the Past 12 Novembers Despite a 14.2% Average Gain

Dogecoin fell 20% in October, matching its 2025 loss and tying for its third-worst October in CryptoRank’s 13-year record. Only 2014 and 2018 saw steeper October losses, at 40.9% and 36.6%, respectively.

Two November rallies help explain why $DOGE averaged a double-digit gain despite falling more often than it rose. $DOGE surged 161.5% in November 2024 and 81.9% in November 2017.

What happened after an October loss? $DOGE rose in three of the six Novembers that followed an October decline and fell in the other three. Its U.S. midterm record leaned weaker. $DOGE fell 42.2% in November 2018 and 14.6% in 2022, but gained 2.58% in 2014.

Dogecoin Price Prediction Scenarios for November

Bullish Case, Target: $0.0832

$DOGE holds the $0.0715 wedge floor, closes above the 20-day EMA and the wedge’s upper line near $0.0782, then clears the weekly midline at $0.0800 and the 50-day at $0.0818. That would open the 100-day EMA at $0.0832, about 11% above today’s price, with the 200-day at $0.0898 beyond it. A Bitcoin close above $79,000 would fit this path. The target sits well below $0.10, in line with Polymarket’s 14% odds.

Bearish Case, Risk Level: $0.0680 (Summer Low)

$DOGE closes below the $0.0715 wedge floor, which would put the $0.0680 summer low in play. A close below that would expose the weekly lower band at $0.0626. Bitcoin failing at $79,000 and falling back toward $75,000 would fit this path.

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FAQs

$DOGE stays bearish below $0.0782 and could move toward $0.0832 if it closes above the 20-day EMA and the wedge’s upper line and clears the averages up to the 100-day. A daily close below the $0.0715 wedge floor would put the $0.0680 summer low in play.

Not usually. $DOGE’s median November return is -2.72%, and only 5 of 12 completed Novembers were positive, according to CryptoRank data. The +14.2% average rests on 2024 and 2017, and the other ten completed Novembers average about -5.7%.

Polymarket traders priced a 14% chance that $DOGE touches $0.10 in November, 3% for $0.15, 1% for $0.20 and 16% for a drop to $0.05. Volume on the market was thin.

The wedge floor near $0.0715 is the key support, just under today’s low at $0.0722. A close below it would put the $0.0680 summer low in play.