The 49ers collide with the Cowboys in an NFC showdown on Sunday. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX.

San Francisco (7-1) is the betting favorite to win Super Bowl 61 at Kalshi, whose traders give the 49ers a 15% implied probability of doing so. Dallas (4-5) is languishing again in mediocrity due its 30th-ranked defense.

Trading is open and active for this Sunday afternoon showdown. For new users, the Kalshi promo code RATE offers a $55 trading bonus $25 in trades.

Market snapshot

  • Game: San Francsico 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys

  • Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026

  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET

  • Broadcast: Fox

  • Probabilities: 49ers 66%, Cowboys 34%

Game: San Francsico 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026

Time: 4:25 p.m. ET

Broadcast: Fox

Probabilities: 49ers 66%, Cowboys 34%

How to claim the Kalshi $55 bonus for 49ers vs. Cowboys

Follow these steps to claim the welcome bonus as a new user at Kalshi:

  • Visit Kalshi and tap on the “Sign Up” button

  • Enter your identifying information, including your name, address, phone number, and Social Security number

  • Enter the promo code RATE when prompted

  • Trade at least $25 within seven days

  • The $55 trading bonus will be credited within 24 hours whether your trades win or lose

Visit Kalshi and tap on the “Sign Up” button

Enter your identifying information, including your name, address, phone number, and Social Security number

Enter the promo code RATE when prompted

Trade at least $25 within seven days

The $55 trading bonus will be credited within 24 hours whether your trades win or lose

The bonus is open to new users located in an eligible state who meet the offer requirements. Check out our Kalshi review for complete details.

49ers vs. Cowboys Odds on Kalshi

That’s a massive total, but probably warranted given Dallas’ defense deficiencies. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the NFL, too. The 49ers rank third with 29.4 points per game. The Cowboys check in at sixth with 27.3 ppg.

San Francisco is dealing with some injury concerns. WRs Mike Evans (Achilles/ribs) and Deebo Samuel (hamstring) both missed last week’s game against Las Vegas and remain questionable for Sunday.

The Cowboys will be without TE Jake Ferguson (knee) and LB DeMarvion Overshown. WR George Pickens (hamstring/shoulder) and CB Joey Porter Jr. (ankle) are questionable.

Kalshi player props for 49ers vs. Cowboys

Prescott is coming off a 335-yard passing performance against the Colts. He’ll get a much stiffer test from San Francisco’s defense. The 49ers allow just 211 passing yards per game.

San Francisco also has the second-ranked run defense in the NFL (80.9 ypg, four TDs on the season), so tread lightly on rushing props for Dallas RB1 Javonte Williams.

Purdy could feast against a Dallas defense that’s given up 16 touchdowns through the air. McCaffrey is being heavily utilized in the passing game. He had five catches on eight targets last week against the Raiders.

McCaffrey’s touchdown production has mostly come on the ground, though. CMC has nine rushing TDs and just one through the air. He is the betting favorite as an ATTD scorer on Sunday.

Trading 49ers vs. Cowboys on Kalshi

Let’s explain how an actual NFL trade works at Kalshi based on its pricing for 49ers vs. Cowboys. Binary yes/no bets at Kalshi always settle at $1. San Francisco is priced at $0.66 to beat Dallas. If that happens, the Yes trade returns $1, including a $0.34 per-share profit. No trades settle at $0.

Always be sure to practice responsible trading at Kalshi and other prediction markets. Understand the risks involved, and always trade within your means.