• Kalshi$125K1%
  • Polymarket US$8.68M64%
  • Polymarket$4.84M35%

Which team the volume backs in each Week 10 game

Each game has two bars in its teams’ colors: the volume traders put on each side, and the market’s price. Where a team’s share of the volume runs further than its price, traders like it more than the market does.

Traders backed the Giants, and they lost 21–24. 58% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 52% chance to win.

Traders back the Patriots, the underdog: 52% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 42% chance to win.

Traders back the Bills a bit more than the price does: 93% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 79% chance to win.

Traders back the Panthers, the underdog: 61% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 45% chance to win.

Traders back the Texans, but less than the price does: 58% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 68% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Jaguars: 89% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at an 84% chance to win.

Traders are piling on the Chiefs: 88% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 63% chance to win.

Traders are piling on the Colts: 90% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 66% chance to win.

Traders back the Vikings, the underdog: 60% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 41% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Rams: 88% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at an 80% chance to win.

Traders back the Seahawks a bit more than the price does: 82% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 72% chance to win.

Traders back the 49ers a bit more than the price does: 77% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 66% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Bengals: 58% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 63% chance to win.

Traders back the Ravens, but less than the price does: 52% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 66% chance to win.

Where Week 10 was traded

Kalshi handled 1% of the volume traded on Week 10. The average trade was biggest on Polymarket ($306) and smallest on Kalshi ($0). Player props are 7% of Polymarket US’s volume.

Kalshi

Polymarket US

Polymarket

What Week 10 combos are riding on

Kalshi combo buyers have put at least $24.21M into combos with a Week 10 leg, across 50,121 combos averaging 8.9 legs. Traders taking the other side (NO) paid another $99.99M.

Most-traded combo legs

YES volume in combos with each leg (a combo counts for each of its legs).

  1. JACJaguars to win13,400 combos$7.13MYES
  2. BUFBills to win12,277 combos$6.32MYES
  3. NYGGiants to win8,487 combos$4.63MYES
  4. SF49ers to win7,468 combos$4.14MYES
  5. LARRams to win7,462 combos$3.86MYES
  6. KCChiefs to win7,581 combos$3.84MYES
  7. SEASeahawks to win6,512 combos$3.54MYES
  8. WASCommanders to win4,314 combos$2.15MYES

Biggest combos

The largest YES trades, which pay only if every leg hits.

  1. $106K to win $125KNo: Washington wins 1Q by over 10.5 points? · No: Jayden Daniels 80+ rushing yards · Giants +16.5 · Under 56.5 · Bowling Green wins5legs
  2. $101K to win $150KBills to win · Jaguars to win2legs
  3. $96.0K to win $236KBills to win · Jaguars to win · Chiefs to win · 49ers to win4legs

Kalshi combos (multi-leg contracts) with at least one leg in a Week 10 game, counted once each. Volume is what buyers paid; YES buyers need every leg to hit, NO buyers take the other side. Kept apart from the week’s other figures. AllTop knows the legs of 49% of Kalshi’s combo dollars in the week’s window, so these are floors. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate.

Biggest Week 10 trades

The largest single trades on who wins.

  1. WASCommanders at 45¢Commanders at Giants · Kalshi · Thu 8:21 PM$219Kpays $487K
  2. SEASeahawks at 68¢Seahawks at Raiders · Kalshi · Tue 2:36 PM$204Kpays $300K
  3. NYGGiants at 92¢Commanders at Giants · Kalshi · Thu 11:04 PM$196Kpays $213K
  4. INDColts at 57¢Dolphins at Colts · Kalshi · Tue 3:45 PM$171Kpays $300K
  5. NYGGiants at 54¢Commanders at Giants · Polymarket · Thu 7:20 PM$162Kpays $300K
  6. NYGGiants at 55¢Commanders at Giants · Kalshi · Thu 8:02 PM$121Kpays $219K

Biggest price moves

Kalshi’s price, since the market opened.

  1. HOUHouston TexansTexans at Browns · 41% → 68%+27points
  2. SEASeattle SeahawksSeahawks at Raiders · 55% → 72%+18points
  3. INDIndianapolis ColtsDolphins at Colts · 53% → 66%+14points
  4. BALBaltimore RavensChargers at Ravens · 53% → 66%+14points
  5. GBGreen Bay PackersVikings at Packers · 49% → 59%+10points
  6. CINCincinnati BengalsSteelers at Bengals · 54% → 63%+10points

Most-traded players

Dollars traded across each player’s props. Every prop →

  1. NYGCam Skattebo44 markets · Commanders at Giants$2.35Mtraded
  2. WASJayden Daniels46 markets · Commanders at Giants$2.06Mtraded
  3. NYGMalik Nabers31 markets · Commanders at Giants$1.31Mtraded
  4. NYGIsaiah Likely44 markets · Commanders at Giants$1.31Mtraded
  5. NYGJ.J. McCarthy22 markets · Commanders at Giants$1.08Mtraded

Where the volume disagrees with the market

Each dot is the team with more volume in a game: across, its chance to win; up, its share of the volume. Above the dashed line, traders liked it more than the market price does. Bigger dots, more volume.

60% of the volume at 41% price against the Packers.

88% of the volume, 26 points above their 63% price.

42% of the volume at 32% price against the Texans.

the Giants, the Jaguars, the Rams, the Bengals: the volume and the price agree.

Week 10 volume, game by game

Every game’s volume, by market and by exchange, and the side buyers took. Tap a column to sort.

Volume: every market on each game (winner, spread, total, quarters and player props). Kalshi’s share is its own volume, as Kalshi shows it: contracts traded, each counted at its $1 payout (AllTop’s count of every Kalshi trade). Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid, price × contracts, as each reports its trades. A game’s total adds the three. Winner and Props: those markets alone. Sides, paid by day, the biggest trades and whales are what buyers paid. Whales: winner trades of $10,000 or more, and their share of the winner volume paid. Exchanges: Kalshi, Polymarket US (Polymarket’s US exchange) and Polymarket (its international exchange). Sides: Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers, by the team they bought (Polymarket doesn’t publish its buyer’s side). Price: the average of Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s midpoints. Gap: the leading side’s share of the volume minus its chance. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate, as of Nov 13, 11:49 PM ET. Kalshi’s contract counts as of Nov 13, 11:37 PM ET, read from AllTop every 15 minutes, so a game still trading can trail Kalshi’s own figure by a few minutes.

Week 10 in numbers

Ready to quote. Each line carries its time; copy one and cite DeFi Rate.

  • $13.65M has been traded on NFL Week 10 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket since the markets opened, $9.54M of it on the winners, across 1,080,571 trades (as of Nov 13, 11:49 PM ET). Kalshi’s share counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume (its contracts counted as of Nov 13, 11:37 PM ET); Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid.
  • Commanders at Giants has drawn the most volume of any Week 10 game: $12.40M (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 13, 11:37 PM ET).
  • In 3 Week 10 games, most prediction market volume is on the underdog, led by the Vikings (60% of the volume at a 41% price).
  • Kalshi accounts for 1% of the volume traded on Week 10 games; Polymarket US for 64% (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 13, 11:37 PM ET).
  • The biggest single Week 10 trade so far: $219K on the Commanders at 45 cents on Kalshi.
  • The team with most of the prediction market volume won 0 of 1 finished Week 10 games.
  • Kalshi combo buyers have put at least $24.21M into combos with a Week 10 leg; the most-traded combo leg is JAC to win (as of Nov 13, 11:49 PM ET).
  • $641K has been traded on Week 10 player props; Cam Skattebo draws the most, $2.35M across 44 markets (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 13, 11:37 PM ET).

Use these numbers

NFL Week 10 volume, answered

Commanders at Giants, with $12.40M traded across all its markets ($8.77M on who wins) across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

$13.65M on the week's games since the markets opened ($9.54M on the winners), in 1,080,571 trades, $48.52M of it in the last 24 hours. Kalshi’s share counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume (its contracts counted as of Nov 13, 11:37 PM ET); Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid.

The team with most of the volume before kickoff won 0 of 1 finished games.

The Vikings: 60% of the volume at a 41% price. The Panthers: 61% of the volume at a 45% price. The Patriots: 52% of the volume at a 42% price.

$641K since the markets opened. Cam Skattebo draws the most prop volume, $2.35M across 44 markets.

$219K on the Commanders at 45 cents on Kalshi.

Every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, collected by AllTop and counted by DeFi Rate. Kalshi’s volume counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows it; Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s volume is what buyers paid; the side is the team they bought.

Where prediction market volume is going on NFL Week 10: the dollars traded on every game, which team the buyers are taking, the biggest single trades and the most-traded player props, across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Week 10 games

See every game, the Super Bowl and MVP races on the NFL odds page, and print the pick'em sheet.