• Kalshi$97.89M87%
  • Polymarket US$9.13M8%
  • Polymarket$4.94M4%

Which team the volume backs in each Week 9 game

Each game has two bars in its teams’ colors: the volume traders put on each side, and the market’s price. Where a team’s share of the volume runs further than its price, traders like it more than the market does.

Traders backed the Jaguars, and they won 33–10. 69% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 47% chance to win.

Traders are piling on the Bengals: 83% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 61% chance to win.

Traders back the Saints a bit more than the price does: 71% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 61% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Cowboys: 64% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 68% chance to win.

Traders back the Panthers, the underdog: 59% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 43% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Lions: 81% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 74% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Rams: 71% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 67% chance to win.

Traders are piling on the Giants: 86% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 61% chance to win.

Traders back the Chiefs a bit more than the price does: 92% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at an 81% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Texans: 63% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 69% chance to win.

Traders back the Cardinals, the underdog: 52% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 22% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Patriots: 57% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 61% chance to win.

Traders back the 49ers, but less than the price does: 58% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 79% chance to win.

Traders are piling on the Bears: 93% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 71% chance to win.

The volume matches the price on the Bills: 58% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 61% chance to win.

Where Week 9 was traded

Kalshi handled 87% of the volume traded on Week 9. The average trade was biggest on Polymarket ($359) and smallest on Polymarket US ($41). Player props are 24% of Kalshi’s volume.

Kalshi

Polymarket US

Polymarket

What Week 9 combos are riding on

Kalshi combo buyers have put at least $22.16M into combos with a Week 9 leg, across 49,253 combos averaging 7.6 legs. Traders taking the other side (NO) paid another $45.77M.

Most-traded combo legs

YES volume in combos with each leg (a combo counts for each of its legs).

  1. JACJaguars to win15,513 combos$8.01MYES
  2. KCChiefs to win7,117 combos$3.69MYES
  3. DETLions to win6,155 combos$2.73MYES
  4. SF49ers to win4,634 combos$2.36MYES
  5. SEASeahawks to win3,578 combos$1.72MYES
  6. CHIBears to win3,432 combos$1.45MYES
  7. JACTrevor Lawrence 175+ passing yards3,164 combos$1.22MYES
  8. LARRams to win2,972 combos$1.18MYES

Biggest combos

The largest YES trades, which pay only if every leg hits.

  1. $144K to win $316KJaguars to win · Seahawks to win · 49ers to win · Chiefs to win · Cowboys +7.5 · and 5 more10legs
  2. $81.5K to win $206KLions to win · 49ers to win · Chiefs -5.53legs
  3. $77.4K to win $151KLions to win · Chiefs to win · New York wins3legs

Kalshi combos (multi-leg contracts) with at least one leg in a Week 9 game, counted once each. Volume is what buyers paid; YES buyers need every leg to hit, NO buyers take the other side. Kept apart from the week’s other figures. AllTop knows the legs of 49% of Kalshi’s combo dollars in the week’s window, so these are floors. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate.

Biggest Week 9 trades

The largest single trades on who wins.

  1. JACJaguars at 78¢Jaguars at Ravens · Polymarket · Thu 8:14 PM$599Kpays $769K
  2. JACJaguars at 78¢Jaguars at Ravens · Polymarket · Thu 8:15 PM$195Kpays $250K
  3. JACJaguars at 81¢Jaguars at Ravens · Polymarket · Thu 8:18 PM$179Kpays $221K
  4. NOSaints at 59¢Browns at Saints · Kalshi · Wed 9:37 AM$177Kpays $300K
  5. NYGGiants at 63¢Giants at Eagles · Kalshi · Wed 2:09 PM$160Kpays $253K
  6. JACJaguars at 99¢Jaguars at Ravens · Kalshi · Thu 10:11 PM$130Kpays $131K

Biggest price moves

Kalshi’s price, since the market opened.

  1. KCKansas City ChiefsJets at Chiefs · 68% → 81%+13points
  2. SFSan Francisco 49ersRaiders at 49ers · 69% → 79%+11points
  3. HOUHouston TexansTexans at Chargers · 59% → 69%+10points
  4. DALDallas CowboysCowboys at Colts · 61% → 68%+8points
  5. SEASeattle SeahawksCardinals at Seahawks · 71% → 78%+8points
  6. ATLAtlanta FalconsBengals at Falcons · 33% → 39%+6points

Most-traded players

Dollars traded across each player’s props. Every prop →

  1. BALDerrick Henry43 markets · Jaguars at Ravens$2.09Mtraded
  2. JACTrevor Lawrence31 markets · Jaguars at Ravens$1.02Mtraded
  3. JACBhayshul Tuten55 markets · Jaguars at Ravens$868Ktraded
  4. JACParker Washington28 markets · Jaguars at Ravens$754Ktraded
  5. JACChris Rodriguez Jr.14 markets · Jaguars at Ravens$688Ktraded

Where the volume disagrees with the market

Each dot is the team with more volume in a game: across, its chance to win; up, its share of the volume. Above the dashed line, traders liked it more than the market price does. Bigger dots, more volume.

52% of the volume at 22% price against the Seahawks.

86% of the volume, 25 points above their 61% price.

42% of the volume at 21% price against the 49ers.

the Cowboys, the Lions, the Rams, the Texans, the Patriots, the Bills: the volume and the price agree.

Week 9 volume, game by game

Every game’s volume, by market and by exchange, and the side buyers took. Tap a column to sort.

Volume: every market on each game (winner, spread, total, quarters and player props). Kalshi’s share is its own volume, as Kalshi shows it: contracts traded, each counted at its $1 payout (AllTop’s count of every Kalshi trade). Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid, price × contracts, as each reports its trades. A game’s total adds the three. Winner and Props: those markets alone. Sides, paid by day, the biggest trades and whales are what buyers paid. Whales: winner trades of $10,000 or more, and their share of the winner volume paid. Exchanges: Kalshi, Polymarket US (Polymarket’s US exchange) and Polymarket (its international exchange). Sides: Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers, by the team they bought (Polymarket doesn’t publish its buyer’s side). Price: the average of Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s midpoints. Gap: the leading side’s share of the volume minus its chance. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate, as of Nov 6, 11:46 PM ET. Kalshi’s contract counts as of Nov 6, 11:37 PM ET, read from AllTop every 15 minutes, so a game still trading can trail Kalshi’s own figure by a few minutes.

Week 9 in numbers

Ready to quote. Each line carries its time; copy one and cite DeFi Rate.

  • $111.96M has been traded on NFL Week 9 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket since the markets opened, $41.47M of it on the winners, across 953,134 trades (as of Nov 6, 11:46 PM ET). Kalshi’s share counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume (its contracts counted as of Nov 6, 11:37 PM ET); Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid.
  • Jaguars at Ravens has drawn the most volume of any Week 9 game: $92.91M (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 6, 11:37 PM ET).
  • In 3 Week 9 games, most prediction market volume is on the underdog, led by the Cardinals (52% of the volume at a 22% price).
  • Kalshi accounts for 87% of the volume traded on Week 9 games; Polymarket US for 8% (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 6, 11:37 PM ET).
  • The biggest single Week 9 trade so far: $599K on the Jaguars at 78 cents on Polymarket.
  • The team with most of the prediction market volume won 1 of 1 finished Week 9 games.
  • Kalshi combo buyers have put at least $22.16M into combos with a Week 9 leg; the most-traded combo leg is JAC to win (as of Nov 6, 11:46 PM ET).
  • $24.68M has been traded on Week 9 player props; Derrick Henry draws the most, $2.09M across 43 markets (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 6, 11:37 PM ET).

Use these numbers

NFL Week 9 volume, answered

Jaguars at Ravens, with $92.91M traded across all its markets ($34.65M on who wins) across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

$111.96M on the week's games since the markets opened ($41.47M on the winners), in 953,134 trades, $13.62M of it in the last 24 hours. Kalshi’s share counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume (its contracts counted as of Nov 6, 11:37 PM ET); Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid.

The team with most of the volume before kickoff won 1 of 1 finished games.

The Cardinals: 52% of the volume at a 22% price. The Jaguars: 69% of the volume at a 47% price. The Panthers: 59% of the volume at a 43% price.

$24.68M since the markets opened. Derrick Henry draws the most prop volume, $2.09M across 43 markets.

$599K on the Jaguars at 78 cents on Polymarket.

Every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, collected by AllTop and counted by DeFi Rate. Kalshi’s volume counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows it; Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s volume is what buyers paid; the side is the team they bought.

$111.91M has been traded on NFL Week 9 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket since the markets opened, $41.42M of it on the winners, across 935,630 trades (as of Nov 6, 5:16 PM ET). Kalshi’s share counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume (its contracts counted as of Nov 6, 5:22 PM ET); Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid. Jaguars at Ravens has drawn the most volume of any Week 9 game: $93.03M (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 6, 5:22 PM ET). In 3 Week 9 games, most prediction market volume is on the underdog, led by the Cardinals (53% of the volume at a 22% price). Kalshi accounts for 87% of the volume traded on Week 9 games; Polymarket US for 8% (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 6, 5:22 PM ET). The biggest single Week 9 trade so far: $599K on the Jaguars at 78 cents on Polymarket. The team with most of the prediction market volume won 1 of 1 finished Week 9 games. Kalshi combo buyers have put at least $21.32M into combos with a Week 9 leg; the most-traded combo leg is JAC to win (as of Nov 6, 5:16 PM ET). $24.67M has been traded on Week 9 player props; Derrick Henry draws the most, $2.09M across 43 markets (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 6, 5:22 PM ET).

This report is updated daily while Week 9 is played; the board below refreshes every 5 minutes.

Week 9 games

  • Bengals vs. Falcons: Sunday, Nov. 8, 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Rams vs. Commanders: Sunday, Nov. 8, 1 p.m. ET
  • Jets vs. Chiefs: Sunday, Nov. 8, 1 p.m. ET
  • Cowboys vs. Colts: Sunday, Nov. 8, 1 p.m. ET
  • Broncos vs. Panthers: Sunday, Nov. 8, 1 p.m. ET
  • Giants vs. Eagles: Sunday, Nov. 8, 1 p.m. ET
  • Lions vs. Dolphins: Sunday, Nov. 8, 1 p.m. ET
  • Browns vs. Saints: Sunday, Nov. 8, 1 p.m. ET
  • Texans vs. Chargers: Sunday, Nov. 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Raiders vs. 49ers: Sunday, Nov. 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Packers vs. Patriots: Sunday, Nov. 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Cardinals vs. Seahawks: Sunday, Nov. 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Buccaneers vs. Bears: Sunday, Nov. 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Bills vs. Vikings: Monday, Nov. 9, 8:15 p.m. ET

See every game, the Super Bowl and MVP races on the NFL odds page, and print the pick'em sheet.