Author: Rejamong, Four Pillars

Compiled by Deep潮 TechFlow

DeepChain Overview: Vitalik recently explicitly classified ETH as a "store of value (SoV)" asset, aiming to move beyond previous valuation models reliant on fee burning. However, Ethereum has historically been viewed as a high-frequency iterating tech stock, while the core premise of a store of value asset is absolute certainty and immutability—creating a fundamental paradigm conflict between the two.

This article thoroughly examines the three core contradictions ETH faces in its shift toward a store-of-value narrative: the persistent inflationary pressure after the removal of burn mechanisms, the unresolved and potentially changeable monetary policy, and the ultimate paradox between the need for continuous technological iteration and the requirement for asset stability. Before firm commitments are made, mere optimistic assumptions are insufficient.

On November 8, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a lengthy tweet on social media, clearly advocating that ETH should be regarded as a "Store of Value" (SoV) asset, rather than a "fee-burn token" supported by token burns.

The debate over ETH's asset classification is nothing new in the crypto industry. However, most discussions in the past have either remained at the level of market PR and marketing positioning or been confined to abstract philosophical speculation.

Vitalik’s lengthy article clearly goes much further—it’s not just about the token itself, but a fundamental redefinition of Ethereum’s underlying DNA and its future evolutionary path.

For a long time, Ethereum has been regarded by the industry as the underlying computing platform for smart contracts, and capital markets have traditionally valued it using the valuation logic applied to high-growth technology stocks.

Ethereum has always been at the forefront of blockchain technology, driving innovation. However, for tech stocks to survive, they must continuously innovate and iterate rapidly; in contrast, the foundation of a store-of-value asset lies in maintaining as much stability and constancy as possible.

Today, Vitalik personally anchors ETH as a store of value, aiming to end the community's long-standing uncertainty.

However, a central question looms over everyone: If the underlying network attempts a major protocol hard fork every six months, and its future technology roadmap remains in constant flux, can capital markets truly embrace ETH as a store of value?

Vitalik's core argument: ETH is a store of value asset.

A detailed breakdown of Vitalik's macro arguments reveals that their core logic rests primarily on four progressive pillars:

First, relying solely on fee burning to price ETH actually undermines Ethereum's valuation ceiling.

In a traditional net present value (NPV) valuation model, the annual burn amount divided by the discount rate provides a floor for the network's market value. However, this logic holds only if network fees are primarily driven by net inflows from entities outside the ecosystem.

However, even during the bull market cycle from 2021 to 2023, when token burns reached their peak, the majority of on-chain transaction fees were still consumed by internal transactions within the crypto ecosystem. Once the secondary market price of tokens experienced a correction, on-chain transaction fees sharply contracted, causing the previously anticipated valuation floor to plummet alongside the token price.

Second, if maximizing token destruction becomes the ultimate goal, it will force Ethereum to transform into a highly centralized commercial company.

Referring to the R&D expenditures of tech giants with equivalent market capitalization, Ethereum would require at least 700,000 ETH in protocol-internal funding annually, along with centralized decision-makers ready to forcibly intervene and adjust its direction in response to shifting market conditions.

More importantly, blindly driving up gas fees in pursuit of burning contradicts Ethereum’s original technical vision of scaling to significantly reduce user transaction costs.

Third, optimize the store-of-value properties to fully align with Ethereum’s most widely recognized core trait in today’s market.

Global user adoption of Ethereum stems from its unyielding decentralization and the CROPS principles—censorship resistance, open-source transparency, user privacy, and底层 security—not from its modest deflationary burn rate.

The first major test for a store-of-value asset is extreme survivability. In terms of engineering specifics, this means adopting cautious and conservative cryptographic algorithms, ossifying the protocol’s core layer, minimizing governance politicization, implementing on-chain censorship resistance based on FOCIL, and maintaining a lightweight node barrier that allows verification on ordinary laptops.

Figure: Vitalik's Framework Aligning Ethereum Decentralization with Value Storage

Fourth, the more diverse the underlying assets issued on Layer 1 mainnets, the stronger the practical utility of holding ETH becomes.

Whether exchanging real-world assets (RWA) and emerging crypto assets for ETH on-chain, or leveraging ETH as core collateral to unlock liquidity, all these activities comprehensively enhance the rigid demand for holding and accumulating ETH. The expansion of the network ecosystem and the asset’s store-of-value properties fundamentally align.

Vitalik ultimately concluded that Ethereum’s irreplaceability lies in its unique decentralized foundation and the CROPS principles; the core belief in holding ETH long-term must also take root in these fundamental values. He hopes that the long-term value of the underlying network and the pricing logic of the asset itself can be fully aligned on the same solid foundation.

The technological network that must change, and the underlying asset that must never change

We fully agree that fees and token burns have never been the source of ETH's value. However, several challenging issues still need to be addressed before ETH can be genuinely accepted by global mainstream markets as a traditional store of value. Among these, three challenges stand out as particularly formidable.

The challenge of perpetual inflation after the loss of burn expectations

The first challenge is the net issuance rate of the token.

Once the obsession with deflation through high-frequency burns is abandoned, ETH effectively becomes an indefinite asset with annual net issuance and no hard cap on total supply.

Under this context, the token’s value capture must rely entirely on a new macroeconomic expectation: that the continuous expansion of the underlying network will naturally increase the frequency of ETH usage and attract global capital to lock up and hold long-term.

Previous fee and burn data were clear, transparent, and precisely measurable financial metrics in real time. However, unfortunately, there is currently no clear data model that can directly map the on-chain scale of RWA assets or traditional institutions' adoption of Ethereum to net demand for spot ETH.

In other words, ETH's asset valuation is reverting from a quantifiable cash flow model to pure faith based solely on whether the market is willing to sustain a consensus of holding.

Chart: Historical Evolution of Ethereum's Inflation Rate and the EIP-1559 Burn Mechanism

Ethereum monetary policy subject to change at any time

The second core challenge lies in the alterability of the token supply rules.

Even though the博弈 over Ethereum's inflation control among various stakeholders continues to intensify, the EIP-8363 proposal, which concerns modifying Ethereum's issuance curve, has been temporarily removed from the initial scope of the Hegota upgrade—yet its authors are still actively advancing it through independent governance channels.

Historically, Ethereum has undergone several dramatic shifts in monetary policy: the London hard fork in 2021 officially introduced the EIP-1559 burn mechanism, and the transition to proof-of-stake (PoS) in 2022 significantly reduced the rate of new block issuance.

For an asset to be universally recognized by all of humanity as a cycle-transcending store of value, no individual should possess the power to unilaterally alter its monetary issuance policy, regardless of how democratic or decentralized its on-chain governance system may be.

The ultimate dilemma of tech stocks' positioning versus value storage

The core contradiction ultimately lies in whether Ethereum, as a continuously evolving technological network, can coexist peacefully with ETH as an absolute store of value.

Targeting value storage means, at the engineering endpoint, gradually reducing the frequency of drastic technological changes to Ethereum. This trend toward convergence is already quietly unfolding at the micro level.

The Ethereum Foundation is continuously streamlining and reducing its scale. After achieving its technical roadmap (Strawmap) through 2029, its ultimate vision is to pass the "Walkaway Test": even if the foundation and its current core development team fully withdraw, the Ethereum network will continue to operate entirely autonomously.

However, the irreconcilable contradiction lies in the fact that Ethereum is, at its core, still a software architecture, and as long as it is technology, it is inevitably destined to confront changes in its external environment.

The threat of decryption from quantum computing could force an upgrade at any moment; just as Ethereum is currently making a major shift from full-node re-execution to zero-knowledge proof (ZK) verification, it must respond in real time to the latest advancements in global computer science.

Technological iteration is endless, so the Ethereum underlying network may at any time face significant architectural restructuring. During this prolonged evolution, ETH as a financial asset will inevitably continue to be impacted by multiple factors: whether the roadmap is delivered on schedule, potential security vulnerabilities, and competition from new technological pathways.

Figure: Trade-off between the maintenance cost of a complex technical architecture and asset credit

Bitcoin has indeed undergone technical upgrades such as SegWit and Taproot. However, the reason Bitcoin has solidified the belief of being digital gold lies in the fact that, regardless of how its technical details are refined, holders firmly believe its most fundamental underlying contract will never be compromised.

Ethereum is an extremely sophisticated and complex distributed network. Its architectural complexity far exceeds that of Bitcoin and is also significantly higher than most high-performance blockchains such as Solana. The extreme complexity of the system inherently implies high maintenance costs and a larger potential attack surface.

The larger and more frequent the protocol changes, the more difficult it becomes to uphold the unwavering commitment to the underlying assets. Whether such a complex system can maintain both high-frequency self-innovation and the sacred constancy of its asset credibility remains a significant question.

Final note: The rigid commitment Ethereum truly needs to fulfill

Even today, those who firmly believe ETH is a store of value still secretly hope that Ethereum will demonstrate the explosive growth potential of a high-growth tech stock.

They desire ETH to carry the sacred credibility afforded to stable assets, while urgently demanding that Ethereum deliver exponentially growing, disruptive technological breakthroughs.

Therefore, Ethereum must explicitly define at the foundational level: which core principles regarding ETH as a store of value are inviolable, with the foremost being the permanent fixation of its token issuance policy.

The CROPS principle defines the underlying operational mechanisms of the Ethereum network, but it does not provide any economic guarantee or backing for the ETH token itself.

A vision based solely on the optimistic assumption that increased ecosystem adoption will naturally lead to greater token usage can no longer persuade seasoned investors who have weathered multiple bull and bear cycles. Ethereum now urgently needs to clearly demonstrate to the world why every inch of expansion in the underlying network translates without loss into the irreplaceable value of the ETH token itself.